Swing towards rejecting the Anglican Covenant? #nocovenant

I am sorry that I am so late in reporting this.. just been very busy. At the February 2011 General Synod a motion was proposed by John Ward to ask that when the Anglican Covenant comes back to Synod for approval next year (after it has been to the Dioceses) it should need a 2/3rds majority, rather than a simple majority. I expected this to go through, after all, it is a similar scale of change to the Women Bishop's motion, and that requires a 2/3rds majority. It was defeated in all houses, but with much narrower margins than when the Anglican Covenant was debated previously. This time the voting result was:

Bishops: 4 for, 32 against, 2 recorded abstentions;
Clergy: 82 for, 92 against, 1 abstention;
Laity: 66 for, 112 against.

Whereas, at the November Synod when the question was asked whether to refer the Anglican Covenant to the Dioceses the voting result was (h/t Thinking Anglicans):

Bishops 39 for 0 against 1 abstention
Clergy 145 for 32 against 11 abstentions
Laity 147 for 25 against 8 abstentions

In both cases, the Anglican Covenant itself wasn't being voted on, but I think it may be fair to assume that those who voted for the 2/3rds motion seemed to be against the Covenant and vice versa. I am not so sure with the November Synod, it seemed to me that a degree of emotional blackmail was applied. If we look at the swing it is quite marked:

Bishops - 11% away from Covenant
Clergy - 29% away from Covenant
Laity - 15% away from Covenant

If this very simplistic model did represent the general trend then the next time that the Anglican Covenant came back to Synod it could well be defeated. It only requires one house to say 'no' and that may only need five of the clergy to become convinced that it is a bad idea.

Clearly, this is all guesswork, but it seems to me that at one time it was expected that the General Synod would rubber stamp the Anglican Covenant. Now I think that is far from clear. Personally, I think the more we debate this, the more obvious it will be that the Covenant is a rather desperate document that will do no good and much harm.